Recent National Meteorological Service model consensus and observational trends show a cooling shift for Ankara on September 14 driven by strengthening westerly winds and a modest influx of cooler maritime air, following peak highs near 33°C on September 13. This positions 26°C as the leading outcome with 45.5% market-implied odds, consistent with ensemble forecasts projecting a daily maximum in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Historical September baselines average 26–27°C highs, with low variability this late in the warm season unless a stronger front develops. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs heavily, as any last-minute model adjustment or measurement variance at official stations could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C contracts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Анкаре 14 сентября?
26°C 46%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
28°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
26%
26°C
46%
27°C
27%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
26°C 46%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
28°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$278 Объем
1%
23°C
$207 Объем
1%
24°C
$238 Объем
1%
25°C
$947 Объем
26%
26°C
$454 Объем
46%
27°C
$691 Объем
27%
28°C
$266 Объем
5%
29°C
$142 Объем
1%
30°C
$145 Объем
<1%
31°C
$145 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$145 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Service model consensus and observational trends show a cooling shift for Ankara on September 14 driven by strengthening westerly winds and a modest influx of cooler maritime air, following peak highs near 33°C on September 13. This positions 26°C as the leading outcome with 45.5% market-implied odds, consistent with ensemble forecasts projecting a daily maximum in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Historical September baselines average 26–27°C highs, with low variability this late in the warm season unless a stronger front develops. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs heavily, as any last-minute model adjustment or measurement variance at official stations could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,660Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Service model consensus and observational trends show a cooling shift for Ankara on September 14 driven by strengthening westerly winds and a modest influx of cooler maritime air, following peak highs near 33°C on September 13. This positions 26°C as the leading outcome with 45.5% market-implied odds, consistent with ensemble forecasts projecting a daily maximum in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Historical September baselines average 26–27°C highs, with low variability this late in the warm season unless a stronger front develops. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs heavily, as any last-minute model adjustment or measurement variance at official stations could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,660Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Meteorological Service model consensus and observational trends show a cooling shift for Ankara on September 14 driven by strengthening westerly winds and a modest influx of cooler maritime air, following peak highs near 33°C on September 13. This positions 26°C as the leading outcome with 45.5% market-implied odds, consistent with ensemble forecasts projecting a daily maximum in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Historical September baselines average 26–27°C highs, with low variability this late in the warm season unless a stronger front develops. Traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs heavily, as any last-minute model adjustment or measurement variance at official stations could shift resolution between the tightly clustered 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C contracts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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