Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate clear skies and light winds under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting a daytime maximum near 33°C on September 13, consistent with the market's leading 85.5% implied probability. Model consensus from agencies such as the Met Office highlights peak heating around midday to early afternoon, driven by seasonal solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, with readings unlikely to reach 34°C or drop to 32°C. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context for this above-normal warmth, while the absence of significant atmospheric instability or frontal systems reduces forecast uncertainty and reinforces trader alignment around the 33°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Анкаре 13 сентября?
33°C 86%
32°C 13%
34°C 3.8%
31°C 2%
$20,507 Объем
$20,507 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
13%
33°C
86%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
33°C 86%
32°C 13%
34°C 3.8%
31°C 2%
$20,507 Объем
$20,507 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$115 Объем
<1%
28°C
$805 Объем
<1%
29°C
$947 Объем
<1%
30°C
$799 Объем
<1%
31°C
$2,389 Объем
2%
32°C
$5,610 Объем
13%
33°C
$4,723 Объем
86%
34°C
$2,180 Объем
4%
35°C
$1,247 Объем
<1%
36°C
$587 Объем
<1%
37°C или выше
$1,105 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate clear skies and light winds under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting a daytime maximum near 33°C on September 13, consistent with the market's leading 85.5% implied probability. Model consensus from agencies such as the Met Office highlights peak heating around midday to early afternoon, driven by seasonal solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, with readings unlikely to reach 34°C or drop to 32°C. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context for this above-normal warmth, while the absence of significant atmospheric instability or frontal systems reduces forecast uncertainty and reinforces trader alignment around the 33°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$20,507Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate clear skies and light winds under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting a daytime maximum near 33°C on September 13, consistent with the market's leading 85.5% implied probability. Model consensus from agencies such as the Met Office highlights peak heating around midday to early afternoon, driven by seasonal solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, with readings unlikely to reach 34°C or drop to 32°C. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context for this above-normal warmth, while the absence of significant atmospheric instability or frontal systems reduces forecast uncertainty and reinforces trader alignment around the 33°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20,507Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate clear skies and light winds under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting a daytime maximum near 33°C on September 13, consistent with the market's leading 85.5% implied probability. Model consensus from agencies such as the Met Office highlights peak heating around midday to early afternoon, driven by seasonal solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, with readings unlikely to reach 34°C or drop to 32°C. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context for this above-normal warmth, while the absence of significant atmospheric instability or frontal systems reduces forecast uncertainty and reinforces trader alignment around the 33°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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