Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs point to clear skies and light winds over Ankara tomorrow night, promoting strong radiational cooling at the city's 938-meter elevation and supporting the market's elevated probability for a minimum of 12–15 °C. A weak northerly flow is advecting slightly cooler continental air, while dew-point forecasts near 8–10 °C limit cloud formation and enhance surface heat loss. Historical mid-September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 14–16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a modest negative anomaly. Updated short-range guidance and local observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service tonight will be the final inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 14 сентября?
12°C или ниже 55%
16°C 39%
17°C 38%
18°C 38%
12°C или ниже
55%
13°C
29%
14°C
29%
15°C
29%
16°C
39%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
7%
21°C
13%
22°C или выше
11%
12°C или ниже 55%
16°C 39%
17°C 38%
18°C 38%
12°C или ниже
55%
13°C
29%
14°C
29%
15°C
29%
16°C
39%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
7%
21°C
13%
22°C или выше
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs point to clear skies and light winds over Ankara tomorrow night, promoting strong radiational cooling at the city's 938-meter elevation and supporting the market's elevated probability for a minimum of 12–15 °C. A weak northerly flow is advecting slightly cooler continental air, while dew-point forecasts near 8–10 °C limit cloud formation and enhance surface heat loss. Historical mid-September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 14–16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a modest negative anomaly. Updated short-range guidance and local observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service tonight will be the final inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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