Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a high near 100–102°F for Austin on August 15, positioning the 100–101°F bin as the market leader with 48% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and dry southwesterly flow favor continued heat without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological August peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent guidance shows little model spread, though minor timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary could nudge readings into the 102–103°F range (22.5%). Traders are weighting these short-term dynamical forecasts heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 15 августа?
100-101°F 48%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 48%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
$28 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$28 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$113 Объем
2%
96-97°F
$538 Объем
4%
98-99°F
$328 Объем
18%
100-101°F
$334 Объем
48%
102-103°F
$15 Объем
23%
104-105°F
$82 Объем
6%
106-107°F
$54 Объем
2%
108-109°F
$156 Объем
<1%
110°F или выше
$325 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a high near 100–102°F for Austin on August 15, positioning the 100–101°F bin as the market leader with 48% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and dry southwesterly flow favor continued heat without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological August peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent guidance shows little model spread, though minor timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary could nudge readings into the 102–103°F range (22.5%). Traders are weighting these short-term dynamical forecasts heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$2,000Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a high near 100–102°F for Austin on August 15, positioning the 100–101°F bin as the market leader with 48% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and dry southwesterly flow favor continued heat without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological August peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent guidance shows little model spread, though minor timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary could nudge readings into the 102–103°F range (22.5%). Traders are weighting these short-term dynamical forecasts heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,000Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a high near 100–102°F for Austin on August 15, positioning the 100–101°F bin as the market leader with 48% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging and dry southwesterly flow favor continued heat without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological August peaks in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent guidance shows little model spread, though minor timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary could nudge readings into the 102–103°F range (22.5%). Traders are weighting these short-term dynamical forecasts heavily ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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