Official National Weather Service and supporting model guidance project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on August 29 under sunny skies, light south-southeast winds, and a strong mid-level ridge suppressing clouds and convection. This places the most probable outcome squarely in the 98–99°F bin (68.5% implied probability), modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 95°F but well below historical extremes. Dry air masses and minimal moisture advection limit afternoon heating variability, while consensus among short-range models shows little spread in maximum temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer conditions and official point forecasts heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 100–101°F or cooler scenarios that would require unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 29 августа?
98-99°F 69%
100-101°F 21%
96–97°F 11%
94-95°F 2%
$9,856 Объем
$9,856 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96–97°F
11%
98-99°F
69%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 69%
100-101°F 21%
96–97°F 11%
94-95°F 2%
$9,856 Объем
$9,856 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$270 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$235 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$329 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$533 Объем
2%
96–97°F
$1,551 Объем
11%
98-99°F
$3,536 Объем
69%
100-101°F
$2,227 Объем
21%
102-103°F
$473 Объем
2%
104-105°F
$312 Объем
<1%
106-107°F
$120 Объем
<1%
108°F или выше
$267 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and supporting model guidance project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on August 29 under sunny skies, light south-southeast winds, and a strong mid-level ridge suppressing clouds and convection. This places the most probable outcome squarely in the 98–99°F bin (68.5% implied probability), modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 95°F but well below historical extremes. Dry air masses and minimal moisture advection limit afternoon heating variability, while consensus among short-range models shows little spread in maximum temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer conditions and official point forecasts heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 100–101°F or cooler scenarios that would require unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$9,856Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and supporting model guidance project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on August 29 under sunny skies, light south-southeast winds, and a strong mid-level ridge suppressing clouds and convection. This places the most probable outcome squarely in the 98–99°F bin (68.5% implied probability), modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 95°F but well below historical extremes. Dry air masses and minimal moisture advection limit afternoon heating variability, while consensus among short-range models shows little spread in maximum temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer conditions and official point forecasts heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 100–101°F or cooler scenarios that would require unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,856Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and supporting model guidance project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on August 29 under sunny skies, light south-southeast winds, and a strong mid-level ridge suppressing clouds and convection. This places the most probable outcome squarely in the 98–99°F bin (68.5% implied probability), modestly above the 1991–2020 average high of 95°F but well below historical extremes. Dry air masses and minimal moisture advection limit afternoon heating variability, while consensus among short-range models shows little spread in maximum temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer conditions and official point forecasts heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 100–101°F or cooler scenarios that would require unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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