Market-implied odds assign near-certainty to a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, driven by converging forecasts from regional meteorological models and station data showing stable northeasterly flow with mostly clear skies. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend after earlier September peaks near 31°C, with current conditions and short-range guidance aligning on a maximum around this threshold under typical late-summer atmospheric stability. Historical September averages near 21–22°C provide context for the slightly elevated but consistent reading. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, which could shift only if unexpected convective development or localized microclimate effects alter the recorded peak before the close of the meteorological day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 9 сентября?
25°C 100.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$20,791 Объем
$20,791 Объем
21°C или ниже
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Да
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C или выше
Нет
25°C 100.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$20,791 Объем
$20,791 Объем
21°C или ниже
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Да
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Market-implied odds assign near-certainty to a 25°C high in Istanbul on September 9, driven by converging forecasts from regional meteorological models and station data showing stable northeasterly flow with mostly clear skies. Recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend after earlier September peaks near 31°C, with current conditions and short-range guidance aligning on a maximum around this threshold under typical late-summer atmospheric stability. Historical September averages near 21–22°C provide context for the slightly elevated but consistent reading. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum measurements, which could shift only if unexpected convective development or localized microclimate effects alter the recorded peak before the close of the meteorological day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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