Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Цзинане 10 августа?
26°C или выше 100.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$6,684 Объем
$6,684 Объем
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Да
26°C или выше 100.0%
16°C или ниже <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$6,684 Объем
$6,684 Объем
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Да
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to a daily maximum of at least 26 °C in Jinan on August 10 because official China Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models consistently project 32–34 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when regional highs routinely average near 30 °C and frequently exceed 35 °C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and model agreement, with only an abrupt, unforecast cold frontal passage or persistent heavy rain capable of realistically suppressing temperatures near or below the threshold—developments not indicated in current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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