Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as ensemble runs show limited variability and no significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected in the next 48 hours. Historical September baselines for the region average around 30–31°C, supporting trader consensus around these central values while assigning lower odds to outliers like 34°C or below 30°C absent model shifts. Updated runs and official briefings will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 4 сентября?
32°C 70%
33°C 16%
31°C 14%
30°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
70%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
32°C 70%
33°C 16%
31°C 14%
30°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$85 Объем
<1%
29°C
$310 Объем
1%
30°C
$165 Объем
3%
31°C
$323 Объем
14%
32°C
$1,142 Объем
70%
33°C
$912 Объем
16%
34°C
$132 Объем
2%
35°C
$221 Объем
1%
36°C
$418 Объем
<1%
37°C
$403 Объем
<1%
38°C или выше
$297 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as ensemble runs show limited variability and no significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected in the next 48 hours. Historical September baselines for the region average around 30–31°C, supporting trader consensus around these central values while assigning lower odds to outliers like 34°C or below 30°C absent model shifts. Updated runs and official briefings will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$4,407Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as ensemble runs show limited variability and no significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected in the next 48 hours. Historical September baselines for the region average around 30–31°C, supporting trader consensus around these central values while assigning lower odds to outliers like 34°C or below 30°C absent model shifts. Updated runs and official briefings will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,407Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 4 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as ensemble runs show limited variability and no significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected in the next 48 hours. Historical September baselines for the region average around 30–31°C, supporting trader consensus around these central values while assigning lower odds to outliers like 34°C or below 30°C absent model shifts. Updated runs and official briefings will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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