Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C (58% implied probability) and 33°C (42.5%) as the daily maximum in Tel Aviv on September 7, driven by the latest ensemble outputs from global models showing peaks in the 31–32°C range under stable, mostly clear conditions with light westerly flow. Early September climatology in the eastern Mediterranean supports these values, with typical midday heating and low humidity allowing efficient surface warming absent any significant cloud or frontal activity. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities below 30°C or above 34°C remain negligible given current guidance. Updated runs from major centers will further refine resolution as the date approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 7 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 7 сентября?
32°C 60%
33°C 42%
29°C или ниже <1%
30°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
60%
33°C
42%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
32°C 60%
33°C 42%
29°C или ниже <1%
30°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
$639 Объем
<1%
30°C
$547 Объем
<1%
31°C
$523 Объем
<1%
32°C
$1,268 Объем
60%
33°C
$1,250 Объем
42%
34°C
$331 Объем
<1%
35°C
$225 Объем
<1%
36°C
$270 Объем
<1%
37°C
$286 Объем
<1%
38°C
$286 Объем
<1%
39°C или выше
$276 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C (58% implied probability) and 33°C (42.5%) as the daily maximum in Tel Aviv on September 7, driven by the latest ensemble outputs from global models showing peaks in the 31–32°C range under stable, mostly clear conditions with light westerly flow. Early September climatology in the eastern Mediterranean supports these values, with typical midday heating and low humidity allowing efficient surface warming absent any significant cloud or frontal activity. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities below 30°C or above 34°C remain negligible given current guidance. Updated runs from major centers will further refine resolution as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$5,702Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C (58% implied probability) and 33°C (42.5%) as the daily maximum in Tel Aviv on September 7, driven by the latest ensemble outputs from global models showing peaks in the 31–32°C range under stable, mostly clear conditions with light westerly flow. Early September climatology in the eastern Mediterranean supports these values, with typical midday heating and low humidity allowing efficient surface warming absent any significant cloud or frontal activity. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities below 30°C or above 34°C remain negligible given current guidance. Updated runs from major centers will further refine resolution as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,702Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C (58% implied probability) and 33°C (42.5%) as the daily maximum in Tel Aviv on September 7, driven by the latest ensemble outputs from global models showing peaks in the 31–32°C range under stable, mostly clear conditions with light westerly flow. Early September climatology in the eastern Mediterranean supports these values, with typical midday heating and low humidity allowing efficient surface warming absent any significant cloud or frontal activity. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while probabilities below 30°C or above 34°C remain negligible given current guidance. Updated runs from major centers will further refine resolution as the date approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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