Forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 7 will likely settle near 25–26°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly sea breezes that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 50% for 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat island effects, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical early-September baselines average around 24–25°C, with stable conditions expected absent incoming troughs. Traders will watch updated model runs and local observations through September 6 for shifts in dew point or wind patterns that could alter the minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 7 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 7 сентября?
30°C или выше 96%
20°C или ниже 54%
25°C 54%
21°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
54%
21°C
49%
22°C
47%
23°C
24%
24°C
47%
25°C
37%
26°C
49%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C или выше
96%
30°C или выше 96%
20°C или ниже 54%
25°C 54%
21°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
54%
21°C
$0 Объем
49%
22°C
$0 Объем
47%
23°C
$0 Объем
24%
24°C
$21 Объем
47%
25°C
$24 Объем
37%
26°C
$0 Объем
49%
27°C
$0 Объем
8%
28°C
$0 Объем
8%
29°C
$0 Объем
8%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 7 will likely settle near 25–26°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly sea breezes that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 50% for 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat island effects, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical early-September baselines average around 24–25°C, with stable conditions expected absent incoming troughs. Traders will watch updated model runs and local observations through September 6 for shifts in dew point or wind patterns that could alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$24Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 7 will likely settle near 25–26°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly sea breezes that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 50% for 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat island effects, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical early-September baselines average around 24–25°C, with stable conditions expected absent incoming troughs. Traders will watch updated model runs and local observations through September 6 for shifts in dew point or wind patterns that could alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$24Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 7 will likely settle near 25–26°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly sea breezes that moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 50% for 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat island effects, which can shift overnight lows by several degrees. Historical early-September baselines average around 24–25°C, with stable conditions expected absent incoming troughs. Traders will watch updated model runs and local observations through September 6 for shifts in dew point or wind patterns that could alter the minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы