Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–26°C on September 6, driven by the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C outcomes, while the modest edge for 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or humidity. Historical September minima average 21–23°C, but persistent warmth this week has kept trader consensus aligned with ensemble guidance showing limited overnight drops. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 6 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 6 сентября?
29°C или выше 63%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
25°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
31%
20°C
19%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C или выше
63%
29°C или выше 63%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
25°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$0 Объем
31%
20°C
$0 Объем
19%
21°C
$0 Объем
49%
22°C
$0 Объем
49%
23°C
$0 Объем
26%
24°C
$0 Объем
28%
25°C
$0 Объем
39%
26°C
$10 Объем
26%
27°C
$0 Объем
8%
28°C
$0 Объем
2%
29°C или выше
$0 Объем
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–26°C on September 6, driven by the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C outcomes, while the modest edge for 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or humidity. Historical September minima average 21–23°C, but persistent warmth this week has kept trader consensus aligned with ensemble guidance showing limited overnight drops. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$10Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–26°C on September 6, driven by the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C outcomes, while the modest edge for 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or humidity. Historical September minima average 21–23°C, but persistent warmth this week has kept trader consensus aligned with ensemble guidance showing limited overnight drops. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 24–26°C on September 6, driven by the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25°C outcomes, while the modest edge for 29°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or humidity. Historical September minima average 21–23°C, but persistent warmth this week has kept trader consensus aligned with ensemble guidance showing limited overnight drops. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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