Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6 most likely between 29–31 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate westerly sea breezes typical of the Mediterranean coast. These patterns suppress strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima average near 29–30 °C. Current model consensus shows limited variability, with no incoming fronts or heat advection expected to push readings above 32 °C or below 29 °C. This scientific outlook underpins the market’s strong implied probabilities on 31 °C (53 %) and 32 °C (42.5 %), as traders weigh the narrow forecast envelope and resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 6 сентября?
31°C 53%
32°C 43%
30°C 5%
28°C или ниже 2%
28°C или ниже
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
53%
32°C
43%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
31°C 53%
32°C 43%
30°C 5%
28°C или ниже 2%
28°C или ниже
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
53%
32°C
43%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6 most likely between 29–31 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate westerly sea breezes typical of the Mediterranean coast. These patterns suppress strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, aligning with early-September climatology where daily maxima average near 29–30 °C. Current model consensus shows limited variability, with no incoming fronts or heat advection expected to push readings above 32 °C or below 29 °C. This scientific outlook underpins the market’s strong implied probabilities on 31 °C (53 %) and 32 °C (42.5 %), as traders weigh the narrow forecast envelope and resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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