Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and European ensembles indicate an overnight low near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of light westerly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with historical September baselines around 24–25°C and explains the market's leading 24°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, ahead of cooler or warmer alternatives. No significant atmospheric shifts, such as incoming troughs or heatwaves, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping trader consensus stable ahead of official overnight readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 5 сентября?
20°C или ниже 56%
30°C или выше 50%
24°C 45%
26°C 33%
20°C или ниже
56%
21°C
17%
22°C
20%
23°C
14%
24°C
44%
25°C
17%
26°C
33%
27°C
16%
28°C
32%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
50%
20°C или ниже 56%
30°C или выше 50%
24°C 45%
26°C 33%
20°C или ниже
56%
21°C
17%
22°C
20%
23°C
14%
24°C
44%
25°C
17%
26°C
33%
27°C
16%
28°C
32%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and European ensembles indicate an overnight low near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of light westerly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with historical September baselines around 24–25°C and explains the market's leading 24°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, ahead of cooler or warmer alternatives. No significant atmospheric shifts, such as incoming troughs or heatwaves, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping trader consensus stable ahead of official overnight readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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