Latest European and global model runs indicate a moderating air mass over central Poland on June 13, with 2-meter temperatures centered near 19–20 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those outcomes and reflects typical mid-June variability, when Warsaw’s climatological average high reaches roughly 22 °C. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the precise timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensembles show modest spread, underscoring forecast uncertainty typical at 48-hour range; fresh 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS will provide the next decisive updates before market resolution based on official Warsaw station observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
20°C 36%
19°C 32%
21°C 22%
17°C 6.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июн. 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
7%
19°C
32%
20°C
32%
21°C
22%
22°C or higher
6%
20°C 36%
19°C 32%
21°C 22%
17°C 6.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июн. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$101 Объем
<1%
13°C
$101 Объем
<1%
14°C
$101 Объем
<1%
15°C
$101 Объем
<1%
16°C
$213 Объем
1%
17°C
$0 Объем
7%
18°C
$212 Объем
7%
19°C
$20 Объем
32%
20°C
$46 Объем
32%
21°C
$20 Объем
22%
22°C or higher
$100 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European and global model runs indicate a moderating air mass over central Poland on June 13, with 2-meter temperatures centered near 19–20 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those outcomes and reflects typical mid-June variability, when Warsaw’s climatological average high reaches roughly 22 °C. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the precise timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensembles show modest spread, underscoring forecast uncertainty typical at 48-hour range; fresh 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS will provide the next decisive updates before market resolution based on official Warsaw station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$1,015Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European and global model runs indicate a moderating air mass over central Poland on June 13, with 2-meter temperatures centered near 19–20 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those outcomes and reflects typical mid-June variability, when Warsaw’s climatological average high reaches roughly 22 °C. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the precise timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensembles show modest spread, underscoring forecast uncertainty typical at 48-hour range; fresh 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS will provide the next decisive updates before market resolution based on official Warsaw station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,015Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European and global model runs indicate a moderating air mass over central Poland on June 13, with 2-meter temperatures centered near 19–20 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those outcomes and reflects typical mid-June variability, when Warsaw’s climatological average high reaches roughly 22 °C. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the precise timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensembles show modest spread, underscoring forecast uncertainty typical at 48-hour range; fresh 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS will provide the next decisive updates before market resolution based on official Warsaw station observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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