South Korea’s June 3, 2026 local elections for 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats remain closely contested, with trader consensus clustering on 11–13 wins for the ruling Democratic Party amid uncertainty in battlegrounds such as Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk. The DP benefits from national polling leads and the presidential advantage under Lee Jae-myung, yet regional incumbency and localized turnout dynamics limit expectations of a full sweep. Recent candidate registrations and a handful of uncontested DP victories have reinforced a baseline advantage without resolving the tight margins projected in the largest provinces. Any late polling shifts, debate outcomes, or turnout surges in conservative strongholds could separate the probabilities around the current top outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
13 30%
12 24%
11 21.3%
14 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 июн. 2026 г.
≤10
10%
11
21%
12
24%
13
30%
14
16%
15
14%
≥16
1%
13 30%
12 24%
11 21.3%
14 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 июн. 2026 г.
≤10
$4,272 Объем
10%
11
$465 Объем
21%
12
$478 Объем
24%
13
$843 Объем
30%
14
$1,130 Объем
16%
15
$620 Объем
14%
≥16
$743 Объем
1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.South Korea’s June 3, 2026 local elections for 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats remain closely contested, with trader consensus clustering on 11–13 wins for the ruling Democratic Party amid uncertainty in battlegrounds such as Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk. The DP benefits from national polling leads and the presidential advantage under Lee Jae-myung, yet regional incumbency and localized turnout dynamics limit expectations of a full sweep. Recent candidate registrations and a handful of uncontested DP victories have reinforced a baseline advantage without resolving the tight margins projected in the largest provinces. Any late polling shifts, debate outcomes, or turnout surges in conservative strongholds could separate the probabilities around the current top outcomes.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Объем
$8,551Дата окончания
3 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.South Korea’s June 3, 2026 local elections for 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats remain closely contested, with trader consensus clustering on 11–13 wins for the ruling Democratic Party amid uncertainty in battlegrounds such as Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk. The DP benefits from national polling leads and the presidential advantage under Lee Jae-myung, yet regional incumbency and localized turnout dynamics limit expectations of a full sweep. Recent candidate registrations and a handful of uncontested DP victories have reinforced a baseline advantage without resolving the tight margins projected in the largest provinces. Any late polling shifts, debate outcomes, or turnout surges in conservative strongholds could separate the probabilities around the current top outcomes.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Объем
$8,551Дата окончания
3 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korea’s June 3, 2026 local elections for 17 metropolitan mayor and governor seats remain closely contested, with trader consensus clustering on 11–13 wins for the ruling Democratic Party amid uncertainty in battlegrounds such as Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk. The DP benefits from national polling leads and the presidential advantage under Lee Jae-myung, yet regional incumbency and localized turnout dynamics limit expectations of a full sweep. Recent candidate registrations and a handful of uncontested DP victories have reinforced a baseline advantage without resolving the tight margins projected in the largest provinces. Any late polling shifts, debate outcomes, or turnout surges in conservative strongholds could separate the probabilities around the current top outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы