SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many SpaceX launches in May?
How many SpaceX launches in May?
12 46%
11 35%
9 15%
10 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
≤8
25%
9
15%
10
12%
11
35%
12
46%
13
49%
14 or more
6%
12 46%
11 35%
9 15%
10 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
≤8
$208 Объем
25%
9
$73 Объем
15%
10
$71 Объем
12%
11
$50 Объем
35%
12
$50 Объем
46%
13
$121 Объем
49%
14 or more
$643 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$1,217Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Объем
$1,217Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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