Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderate uncertainty in Chengdu’s overnight minimum for September 17, with guidance split between cooler air advection from the north and lingering warm, moist southerly flow. This spread supports the near-even market-implied odds between sub-15 °C and 25 °C-plus outcomes, while clustering around 19 °C reflects the most probable central tendency from recent runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any frontal passage, local wind speeds that modulate urban heat retention, and cloud-cover evolution that affects radiative cooling. Updated model cycles and observational data from regional stations will likely narrow the range before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 17 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 17 сентября?
15°C или ниже 68%
25°C или выше 68%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
68%
16°C
38%
17°C
25%
18°C
26%
19°C
32%
20°C
23%
21°C
21%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
14%
25°C или выше
68%
15°C или ниже 68%
25°C или выше 68%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$0 Объем
68%
16°C
$0 Объем
38%
17°C
$0 Объем
25%
18°C
$71 Объем
26%
19°C
$0 Объем
32%
20°C
$0 Объем
23%
21°C
$0 Объем
21%
22°C
$0 Объем
39%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
14%
25°C или выше
$0 Объем
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderate uncertainty in Chengdu’s overnight minimum for September 17, with guidance split between cooler air advection from the north and lingering warm, moist southerly flow. This spread supports the near-even market-implied odds between sub-15 °C and 25 °C-plus outcomes, while clustering around 19 °C reflects the most probable central tendency from recent runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any frontal passage, local wind speeds that modulate urban heat retention, and cloud-cover evolution that affects radiative cooling. Updated model cycles and observational data from regional stations will likely narrow the range before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$71Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderate uncertainty in Chengdu’s overnight minimum for September 17, with guidance split between cooler air advection from the north and lingering warm, moist southerly flow. This spread supports the near-even market-implied odds between sub-15 °C and 25 °C-plus outcomes, while clustering around 19 °C reflects the most probable central tendency from recent runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any frontal passage, local wind speeds that modulate urban heat retention, and cloud-cover evolution that affects radiative cooling. Updated model cycles and observational data from regional stations will likely narrow the range before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$71Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate moderate uncertainty in Chengdu’s overnight minimum for September 17, with guidance split between cooler air advection from the north and lingering warm, moist southerly flow. This spread supports the near-even market-implied odds between sub-15 °C and 25 °C-plus outcomes, while clustering around 19 °C reflects the most probable central tendency from recent runs. Key variables include the strength and timing of any frontal passage, local wind speeds that modulate urban heat retention, and cloud-cover evolution that affects radiative cooling. Updated model cycles and observational data from regional stations will likely narrow the range before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы