Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for September 6, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities of 40.5% for 26°C and 46.0% for 27°C. Light winds under a broad cloud band over southern China, combined with high humidity near 80–90% and scattered showers, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows from dropping further. Historical September minima average near 25.7°C, but persistent cloud cover and weak steering flow currently favor the upper end of that range. Any increase in clear spells or reduced shower activity could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, while continued overcast conditions would support 27°C. Updated model runs and the next Observatory briefing will clarify the precise threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 6 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 6 сентября?
27°C 49%
26°C 40%
25°C 9%
28°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
40%
27°C
49%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 49%
26°C 40%
25°C 9%
28°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$155 Объем
<1%
23°C
$376 Объем
<1%
24°C
$204 Объем
6%
25°C
$583 Объем
9%
26°C
$1,487 Объем
40%
27°C
$2,419 Объем
49%
28°C
$2,250 Объем
4%
29°C
$942 Объем
3%
30°C
$165 Объем
<1%
31°C
$165 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$155 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for September 6, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities of 40.5% for 26°C and 46.0% for 27°C. Light winds under a broad cloud band over southern China, combined with high humidity near 80–90% and scattered showers, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows from dropping further. Historical September minima average near 25.7°C, but persistent cloud cover and weak steering flow currently favor the upper end of that range. Any increase in clear spells or reduced shower activity could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, while continued overcast conditions would support 27°C. Updated model runs and the next Observatory briefing will clarify the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$8,902Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for September 6, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities of 40.5% for 26°C and 46.0% for 27°C. Light winds under a broad cloud band over southern China, combined with high humidity near 80–90% and scattered showers, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows from dropping further. Historical September minima average near 25.7°C, but persistent cloud cover and weak steering flow currently favor the upper end of that range. Any increase in clear spells or reduced shower activity could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, while continued overcast conditions would support 27°C. Updated model runs and the next Observatory briefing will clarify the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$8,902Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for September 6, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities of 40.5% for 26°C and 46.0% for 27°C. Light winds under a broad cloud band over southern China, combined with high humidity near 80–90% and scattered showers, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows from dropping further. Historical September minima average near 25.7°C, but persistent cloud cover and weak steering flow currently favor the upper end of that range. Any increase in clear spells or reduced shower activity could allow slightly greater cooling toward 26°C, while continued overcast conditions would support 27°C. Updated model runs and the next Observatory briefing will clarify the precise threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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