The market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 7, 2026, reflects Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming that temperature as the daily low, matching the official forecast range of 27–32°C issued the prior day under light winds, partial sunshine, and scattered showers. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology at the site, where early-September minima typically range 24–26°C but can hold higher amid stable, humid conditions without strong cold-air intrusions. Traders appear to have placed high confidence in the authoritative station data and model consensus, with minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or alternative sites. A realistic challenge would require a verified revision to the official minimum through post-processing or station discrepancies, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 7 сентября?
27°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,299 Объем
$17,299 Объем
22°C или ниже
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Да
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C или выше
Нет
27°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,299 Объем
$17,299 Объем
22°C или ниже
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Да
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 7, 2026, reflects Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming that temperature as the daily low, matching the official forecast range of 27–32°C issued the prior day under light winds, partial sunshine, and scattered showers. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology at the site, where early-September minima typically range 24–26°C but can hold higher amid stable, humid conditions without strong cold-air intrusions. Traders appear to have placed high confidence in the authoritative station data and model consensus, with minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or alternative sites. A realistic challenge would require a verified revision to the official minimum through post-processing or station discrepancies, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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