Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily minimum of 27°C on September 8, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant cooling influences. This value aligns with the warm end of climatological norms for early September, when persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures typically limit overnight drops. Traders converged on this outcome once preliminary automated station readings and the official daily extract became available, leaving negligible implied probability for lower thresholds. A realistic challenge would require revised HKO verification showing an unreported dip below 27°C at the primary observatory site, though such adjustments are uncommon after initial release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 8 сентября?
27°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,713 Объем
$23,713 Объем
22°C или ниже
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Да
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C или выше
Нет
27°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,713 Объем
$23,713 Объем
22°C или ниже
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Да
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily minimum of 27°C on September 8, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and no significant cooling influences. This value aligns with the warm end of climatological norms for early September, when persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures typically limit overnight drops. Traders converged on this outcome once preliminary automated station readings and the official daily extract became available, leaving negligible implied probability for lower thresholds. A realistic challenge would require revised HKO verification showing an unreported dip below 27°C at the primary observatory site, though such adjustments are uncommon after initial release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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