**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 11, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models.** Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting typically moderates extreme heat through sea breezes and high humidity, with September climatological overnight lows averaging near 28–30°C. Current conditions feature clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure, producing minimal nocturnal cooling and keeping temperatures from dropping below the 30–31°C range according to multiple sources. Historical data from the Jeddah station show recent daily minima clustered around 29–31°C under similar late-summer patterns. The 98% implied probability for exactly 31°C captures this tight clustering of model outputs and real-time observations. A realistic shift could occur only with an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized precipitation that traps heat, or a stronger-than-expected land breeze introducing slightly cooler maritime air—developments that current guidance and short-range models do not support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Джидде 11 сентября?
31°C 98%
27°C 10.9%
25°C или ниже 1.6%
26°C 1.5%
25°C или ниже
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
-
30°C
45%
31°C
98%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 98%
27°C 10.9%
25°C или ниже 1.6%
26°C 1.5%
25°C или ниже
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
-
30°C
45%
31°C
98%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 11, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from regional models.** Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting typically moderates extreme heat through sea breezes and high humidity, with September climatological overnight lows averaging near 28–30°C. Current conditions feature clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure, producing minimal nocturnal cooling and keeping temperatures from dropping below the 30–31°C range according to multiple sources. Historical data from the Jeddah station show recent daily minima clustered around 29–31°C under similar late-summer patterns. The 98% implied probability for exactly 31°C captures this tight clustering of model outputs and real-time observations. A realistic shift could occur only with an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized precipitation that traps heat, or a stronger-than-expected land breeze introducing slightly cooler maritime air—developments that current guidance and short-range models do not support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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