**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in London for September 10 near 12–13 °C as the most probable outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light southwesterly flow allow radiative cooling after daytime highs around 21 °C, with dew points near 10–11 °C limiting further drop. Hourly runs show minima occurring around 06:00–08:00 BST, typically 11–12 °C in central areas and slightly higher in the urban heat island. Traders have converged on 12 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (33 %) because successive model updates have stabilized in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology when clear nights produce lows 8–10 °C below daytime maxima. A modest risk of 14 °C exists if cloud cover increases earlier, while sub-11 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent stronger high pressure or drier air. The next Met Office update and any ECMWF shift before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 10 сентября?
12°C 43%
13°C 34%
14°C 17%
11°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
43%
13°C
34%
14°C
17%
15°C или выше
3%
12°C 43%
13°C 34%
14°C 17%
11°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$116 Объем
1%
6°C
$25 Объем
1%
7°C
$68 Объем
1%
8°C
$262 Объем
1%
9°C
$513 Объем
2%
10°C
$159 Объем
3%
11°C
$472 Объем
6%
12°C
$1,745 Объем
43%
13°C
$665 Объем
34%
14°C
$429 Объем
17%
15°C или выше
$66 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in London for September 10 near 12–13 °C as the most probable outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light southwesterly flow allow radiative cooling after daytime highs around 21 °C, with dew points near 10–11 °C limiting further drop. Hourly runs show minima occurring around 06:00–08:00 BST, typically 11–12 °C in central areas and slightly higher in the urban heat island. Traders have converged on 12 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (33 %) because successive model updates have stabilized in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology when clear nights produce lows 8–10 °C below daytime maxima. A modest risk of 14 °C exists if cloud cover increases earlier, while sub-11 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent stronger high pressure or drier air. The next Met Office update and any ECMWF shift before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$4,520Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in London for September 10 near 12–13 °C as the most probable outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light southwesterly flow allow radiative cooling after daytime highs around 21 °C, with dew points near 10–11 °C limiting further drop. Hourly runs show minima occurring around 06:00–08:00 BST, typically 11–12 °C in central areas and slightly higher in the urban heat island. Traders have converged on 12 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (33 %) because successive model updates have stabilized in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology when clear nights produce lows 8–10 °C below daytime maxima. A modest risk of 14 °C exists if cloud cover increases earlier, while sub-11 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent stronger high pressure or drier air. The next Met Office update and any ECMWF shift before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,520Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in London for September 10 near 12–13 °C as the most probable outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under light southwesterly flow allow radiative cooling after daytime highs around 21 °C, with dew points near 10–11 °C limiting further drop. Hourly runs show minima occurring around 06:00–08:00 BST, typically 11–12 °C in central areas and slightly higher in the urban heat island. Traders have converged on 12 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (33 %) because successive model updates have stabilized in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology when clear nights produce lows 8–10 °C below daytime maxima. A modest risk of 14 °C exists if cloud cover increases earlier, while sub-11 °C outcomes remain low-probability absent stronger high pressure or drier air. The next Met Office update and any ECMWF shift before midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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