Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions over western Luzon, including Metro Manila, are sustaining high humidity near 80-95% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest temperature tightly clustered near historical September averages of 25-27°C. Localized thunderstorms and light variable winds further moderate overnight drops by trapping heat and moisture, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 24°C. PAGASA monitoring shows no major tropical cyclone influence or sharp frontal shifts as of September 20, leaving traders pricing similar implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes amid forecast model consensus on stable but variable convective activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Маниле 20 сентября?
21°C или ниже 90%
25°C 47%
24°C 20%
23°C 6%
21°C или ниже
90%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
21°C или ниже 90%
25°C 47%
24°C 20%
23°C 6%
21°C или ниже
90%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions over western Luzon, including Metro Manila, are sustaining high humidity near 80-95% and extensive cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest temperature tightly clustered near historical September averages of 25-27°C. Localized thunderstorms and light variable winds further moderate overnight drops by trapping heat and moisture, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 24°C. PAGASA monitoring shows no major tropical cyclone influence or sharp frontal shifts as of September 20, leaving traders pricing similar implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes amid forecast model consensus on stable but variable convective activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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