Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 6 centered near 11–13 °C under clearing skies and light northeast winds following daytime showers. Radiational cooling overnight will be the dominant driver, with clear conditions and dew points around 9–10 °C allowing temperatures to drop more efficiently than on the preceding rainy night. Slight variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution produce a narrow spread that places 8–11 °C outcomes in nearly equal contention, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF overnight will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 6 сентября?
8°C 27%
10°C 26%
9°C 25%
11°C 24%
5°C или ниже
15%
6°C
15%
7°C
14%
8°C
27%
9°C
25%
10°C
26%
11°C
24%
12°C
15%
13°C
2%
14°C
14%
15°C или выше
13%
8°C 27%
10°C 26%
9°C 25%
11°C 24%
5°C или ниже
15%
6°C
15%
7°C
14%
8°C
27%
9°C
25%
10°C
26%
11°C
24%
12°C
15%
13°C
2%
14°C
14%
15°C или выше
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 6 centered near 11–13 °C under clearing skies and light northeast winds following daytime showers. Radiational cooling overnight will be the dominant driver, with clear conditions and dew points around 9–10 °C allowing temperatures to drop more efficiently than on the preceding rainy night. Slight variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and model resolution produce a narrow spread that places 8–11 °C outcomes in nearly equal contention, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF overnight will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы