Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in Paris on August 21 near 13–15°C amid a shift to cooler Atlantic air following mid-month warmth. Partly cloudy skies with possible showers are expected to moderate radiative cooling, while light winds and typical late-summer humidity limit further drops; this aligns with climatological norms of 13–15°C minima once heat eases. Minor model spread on cloud cover and wind could nudge outcomes toward 13°C or 15°C, with the official Paris-Montsouris station measurement serving as the resolution benchmark. Trader consensus at 52% for 15°C and 25% for 14°C reflects these forecasts and the narrow uncertainty range for the final 24-hour period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 21 августа?
15°C 53%
14°C 40%
13°C 13%
16°C 7%
11°C или ниже
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
13%
14°C
25%
15°C
53%
16°C
7%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
15°C 53%
14°C 40%
13°C 13%
16°C 7%
11°C или ниже
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
13%
14°C
25%
15°C
53%
16°C
7%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance positions the overnight low in Paris on August 21 near 13–15°C amid a shift to cooler Atlantic air following mid-month warmth. Partly cloudy skies with possible showers are expected to moderate radiative cooling, while light winds and typical late-summer humidity limit further drops; this aligns with climatological norms of 13–15°C minima once heat eases. Minor model spread on cloud cover and wind could nudge outcomes toward 13°C or 15°C, with the official Paris-Montsouris station measurement serving as the resolution benchmark. Trader consensus at 52% for 15°C and 25% for 14°C reflects these forecasts and the narrow uncertainty range for the final 24-hour period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы