Recent forecast updates from sources including the Met Office and Météo-France highlight a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, driving overnight lows in Paris toward 11–14°C on August 22 amid partly cloudy skies and possible showers. This marks the coolest period of the week following warmer conditions earlier in August, with reduced daytime heating and increased radiative cooling under lighter winds enhancing the drop. Model consensus centers on minimums near 13–14°C, but variations in cloud cover timing and precipitation could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining tight market-implied odds between 11°C and 13°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 22 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 22 августа?
12°C 34%
11°C 32%
13°C 14%
10°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
3%
10°C
10%
11°C
29%
12°C
34%
13°C
14%
14°C
10%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
12°C 34%
11°C 32%
13°C 14%
10°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$0 Объем
3%
10°C
$0 Объем
10%
11°C
$12 Объем
29%
12°C
$10 Объем
34%
13°C
$0 Объем
14%
14°C
$0 Объем
10%
15°C
$276 Объем
5%
16°C
$5 Объем
2%
17°C
$5 Объем
4%
18°C
$5 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from sources including the Met Office and Météo-France highlight a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, driving overnight lows in Paris toward 11–14°C on August 22 amid partly cloudy skies and possible showers. This marks the coolest period of the week following warmer conditions earlier in August, with reduced daytime heating and increased radiative cooling under lighter winds enhancing the drop. Model consensus centers on minimums near 13–14°C, but variations in cloud cover timing and precipitation could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining tight market-implied odds between 11°C and 13°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$312Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from sources including the Met Office and Météo-France highlight a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, driving overnight lows in Paris toward 11–14°C on August 22 amid partly cloudy skies and possible showers. This marks the coolest period of the week following warmer conditions earlier in August, with reduced daytime heating and increased radiative cooling under lighter winds enhancing the drop. Model consensus centers on minimums near 13–14°C, but variations in cloud cover timing and precipitation could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining tight market-implied odds between 11°C and 13°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$312Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from sources including the Met Office and Météo-France highlight a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, driving overnight lows in Paris toward 11–14°C on August 22 amid partly cloudy skies and possible showers. This marks the coolest period of the week following warmer conditions earlier in August, with reduced daytime heating and increased radiative cooling under lighter winds enhancing the drop. Model consensus centers on minimums near 13–14°C, but variations in cloud cover timing and precipitation could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining tight market-implied odds between 11°C and 13°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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