Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16 near 22–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the leading 23°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Typical September nocturnal cooling in this Mediterranean location, driven by radiative heat loss with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligns with historical averages around 21–23°C, though slight model spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing introduces uncertainty reflected in the close 20°C-or-below (33.5%) and higher-bucket probabilities. Updated runs overnight and early morning will clarify whether any subtle high-pressure ridge adjustment shifts the low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 16 сентября?
30°C или выше 61%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
35%
21°C
22%
22°C
23%
23°C
36%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
13%
30°C или выше
61%
30°C или выше 61%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$36 Объем
35%
21°C
$0 Объем
22%
22°C
$0 Объем
23%
23°C
$43 Объем
36%
24°C
$0 Объем
40%
25°C
$0 Объем
40%
26°C
$0 Объем
39%
27°C
$0 Объем
39%
28°C
$0 Объем
14%
29°C
$0 Объем
13%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16 near 22–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the leading 23°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Typical September nocturnal cooling in this Mediterranean location, driven by radiative heat loss with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligns with historical averages around 21–23°C, though slight model spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing introduces uncertainty reflected in the close 20°C-or-below (33.5%) and higher-bucket probabilities. Updated runs overnight and early morning will clarify whether any subtle high-pressure ridge adjustment shifts the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$80Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16 near 22–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the leading 23°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Typical September nocturnal cooling in this Mediterranean location, driven by radiative heat loss with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligns with historical averages around 21–23°C, though slight model spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing introduces uncertainty reflected in the close 20°C-or-below (33.5%) and higher-bucket probabilities. Updated runs overnight and early morning will clarify whether any subtle high-pressure ridge adjustment shifts the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$80Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16 near 22–24°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the leading 23°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability. Typical September nocturnal cooling in this Mediterranean location, driven by radiative heat loss with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligns with historical averages around 21–23°C, though slight model spread on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing introduces uncertainty reflected in the close 20°C-or-below (33.5%) and higher-bucket probabilities. Updated runs overnight and early morning will clarify whether any subtle high-pressure ridge adjustment shifts the low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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