The market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus that Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on September 16 will reach exactly 33°C, driven by the latest official forecast from the Israel Meteorological Service aligning with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS. These indicate stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies supporting daytime heating to that precise threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain where September averages hover near 30–32°C. Strong agreement across observational networks and short-range guidance leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day shift in sea breeze strength or localized measurement variance at the official station could realistically alter resolution, though both remain low-probability under current atmospheric stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 16 сентября?
33°C 100.0%
29°C или ниже <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,823 Объем
$36,823 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C
Да
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C
Нет
38°C
Нет
39°C или выше
Нет
33°C 100.0%
29°C или ниже <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,823 Объем
$36,823 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
$3,434 Объем
Нет
30°C
$1,982 Объем
Нет
31°C
$2,259 Объем
Нет
32°C
$8,173 Объем
Нет
33°C
$8,535 Объем
Да
34°C
$8,021 Объем
Нет
35°C
$2,963 Объем
Нет
36°C
$546 Объем
Нет
37°C
$201 Объем
Нет
38°C
$307 Объем
Нет
39°C или выше
$402 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus that Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on September 16 will reach exactly 33°C, driven by the latest official forecast from the Israel Meteorological Service aligning with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS. These indicate stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies supporting daytime heating to that precise threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain where September averages hover near 30–32°C. Strong agreement across observational networks and short-range guidance leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day shift in sea breeze strength or localized measurement variance at the official station could realistically alter resolution, though both remain low-probability under current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$36,823Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus that Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on September 16 will reach exactly 33°C, driven by the latest official forecast from the Israel Meteorological Service aligning with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS. These indicate stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies supporting daytime heating to that precise threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain where September averages hover near 30–32°C. Strong agreement across observational networks and short-range guidance leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day shift in sea breeze strength or localized measurement variance at the official station could realistically alter resolution, though both remain low-probability under current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$36,823Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus that Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on September 16 will reach exactly 33°C, driven by the latest official forecast from the Israel Meteorological Service aligning with regional model outputs from ECMWF and GFS. These indicate stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies supporting daytime heating to that precise threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain where September averages hover near 30–32°C. Strong agreement across observational networks and short-range guidance leaves minimal room for deviation. Only an unexpected late-day shift in sea breeze strength or localized measurement variance at the official station could realistically alter resolution, though both remain low-probability under current atmospheric stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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