Forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to westerly winds advecting milder maritime air. This follows hotter, clearer conditions earlier in the week. The implied probabilities favoring 30–31°C reflect trader assessment of model consensus and typical uncertainty ranges in short-range temperature forecasts, with lower odds on 32°C or cooler outcomes aligning with the limited upside potential from current steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these values.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 18 сентября?
31°C 60%
30°C 31%
32°C 9%
29°C 4%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
31%
31°C
60%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 60%
30°C 31%
32°C 9%
29°C 4%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
31%
31°C
60%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 18, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to westerly winds advecting milder maritime air. This follows hotter, clearer conditions earlier in the week. The implied probabilities favoring 30–31°C reflect trader assessment of model consensus and typical uncertainty ranges in short-range temperature forecasts, with lower odds on 32°C or cooler outcomes aligning with the limited upside potential from current steering patterns and humidity levels. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these values.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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