Current model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 9 near 24°C, with light nocturnal winds and clear skies allowing moderate radiative cooling under humid conditions influenced by the Mediterranean. This setup produces overnight lows typically between 23–25°C, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact dew point depression, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C across observation sites. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems limit variability, though updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service could refine guidance before the overnight minimum occurs. Historical September averages near 20–22°C underscore the current warmer anomaly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 9 сентября?
24°C 50%
25°C 30%
23°C 28%
22°C 26%
18°C или ниже
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
5%
22°C
26%
23°C
28%
24°C
31%
25°C
30%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
4%
24°C 50%
25°C 30%
23°C 28%
22°C 26%
18°C или ниже
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
5%
22°C
26%
23°C
28%
24°C
31%
25°C
30%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 9 near 24°C, with light nocturnal winds and clear skies allowing moderate radiative cooling under humid conditions influenced by the Mediterranean. This setup produces overnight lows typically between 23–25°C, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on exact dew point depression, boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C across observation sites. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems limit variability, though updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service could refine guidance before the overnight minimum occurs. Historical September averages near 20–22°C underscore the current warmer anomaly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы