Forecast models for Warsaw show the overnight low on September 16 clustering near 10–14 °C, with some runs dipping to 9 °C under clearer skies and lighter winds while others hold near 16 °C if cloud cover or southerly flow persists. This narrow spread among authoritative sources such as NOAA, ECMWF, and local Polish meteorological services explains why 9 °C and 10 °C lead at roughly 31 % each, closely followed by the 16 °C-or-higher bucket at 30 %. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observed dew-point trends against historical September minima, recognizing that even modest shifts in timing of frontal passage or radiational cooling can swing the recorded low across the tightly bunched resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 16 сентября?
6°C или ниже 48%
16°C или выше 43%
7°C 37%
13°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
48%
7°C
37%
8°C
25%
9°C
31%
10°C
31%
11°C
24%
12°C
20%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
14%
16°C или выше
43%
6°C или ниже 48%
16°C или выше 43%
7°C 37%
13°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$0 Объем
48%
7°C
$0 Объем
37%
8°C
$0 Объем
25%
9°C
$0 Объем
31%
10°C
$0 Объем
31%
11°C
$0 Объем
24%
12°C
$0 Объем
20%
13°C
$0 Объем
37%
14°C
$50 Объем
37%
15°C
$0 Объем
14%
16°C или выше
$0 Объем
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Warsaw show the overnight low on September 16 clustering near 10–14 °C, with some runs dipping to 9 °C under clearer skies and lighter winds while others hold near 16 °C if cloud cover or southerly flow persists. This narrow spread among authoritative sources such as NOAA, ECMWF, and local Polish meteorological services explains why 9 °C and 10 °C lead at roughly 31 % each, closely followed by the 16 °C-or-higher bucket at 30 %. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observed dew-point trends against historical September minima, recognizing that even modest shifts in timing of frontal passage or radiational cooling can swing the recorded low across the tightly bunched resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$50Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Warsaw show the overnight low on September 16 clustering near 10–14 °C, with some runs dipping to 9 °C under clearer skies and lighter winds while others hold near 16 °C if cloud cover or southerly flow persists. This narrow spread among authoritative sources such as NOAA, ECMWF, and local Polish meteorological services explains why 9 °C and 10 °C lead at roughly 31 % each, closely followed by the 16 °C-or-higher bucket at 30 %. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observed dew-point trends against historical September minima, recognizing that even modest shifts in timing of frontal passage or radiational cooling can swing the recorded low across the tightly bunched resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$50Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Warsaw show the overnight low on September 16 clustering near 10–14 °C, with some runs dipping to 9 °C under clearer skies and lighter winds while others hold near 16 °C if cloud cover or southerly flow persists. This narrow spread among authoritative sources such as NOAA, ECMWF, and local Polish meteorological services explains why 9 °C and 10 °C lead at roughly 31 % each, closely followed by the 16 °C-or-higher bucket at 30 %. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observed dew-point trends against historical September minima, recognizing that even modest shifts in timing of frontal passage or radiational cooling can swing the recorded low across the tightly bunched resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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