Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C under building high pressure, favoring radiative cooling as skies clear after daytime highs near 19–23°C. Light winds, high humidity near 90–100%, and possible fog formation overnight enhance heat loss from the surface, while September's climatological baseline minimum around 10°C provides context for the mild but variable conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around 10–12°C outcomes due to minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with lower tails reflecting potential for stronger cooling if clearing occurs earlier. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 15 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 15 сентября?
7°C или ниже 45%
17°C или выше 44%
15°C 38%
16°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
45%
8°C
18%
9°C
5%
10°C
26%
11°C
32%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C
19%
15°C
38%
16°C
37%
17°C или выше
44%
7°C или ниже 45%
17°C или выше 44%
15°C 38%
16°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$67 Объем
45%
8°C
$10 Объем
18%
9°C
$97 Объем
5%
10°C
$0 Объем
26%
11°C
$0 Объем
32%
12°C
$0 Объем
26%
13°C
$0 Объем
22%
14°C
$0 Объем
19%
15°C
$10 Объем
38%
16°C
$10 Объем
37%
17°C или выше
$10 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C under building high pressure, favoring radiative cooling as skies clear after daytime highs near 19–23°C. Light winds, high humidity near 90–100%, and possible fog formation overnight enhance heat loss from the surface, while September's climatological baseline minimum around 10°C provides context for the mild but variable conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around 10–12°C outcomes due to minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with lower tails reflecting potential for stronger cooling if clearing occurs earlier. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Объем
$204Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C under building high pressure, favoring radiative cooling as skies clear after daytime highs near 19–23°C. Light winds, high humidity near 90–100%, and possible fog formation overnight enhance heat loss from the surface, while September's climatological baseline minimum around 10°C provides context for the mild but variable conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around 10–12°C outcomes due to minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with lower tails reflecting potential for stronger cooling if clearing occurs earlier. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$204Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C under building high pressure, favoring radiative cooling as skies clear after daytime highs near 19–23°C. Light winds, high humidity near 90–100%, and possible fog formation overnight enhance heat loss from the surface, while September's climatological baseline minimum around 10°C provides context for the mild but variable conditions. Trader sentiment clusters around 10–12°C outcomes due to minor model disagreements on exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with lower tails reflecting potential for stronger cooling if clearing occurs earlier. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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