Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild air mass over Warsaw with overnight lows likely near 13–15°C on September 14, supported by light southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus shows a wide distribution across bins because small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage or wind shift could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°C through variations in boundary-layer mixing and moisture advection. With probabilities clustered between 9°C or below and the mid-teens, markets reflect uncertainty in ensemble spread rather than a single dominant signal, as updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the resolution threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 14 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 14 сентября?
12°C 40%
16°C 37%
19°C или выше 32%
11°C 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
1%
10°C
17%
11°C
30%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
28%
15°C
5%
16°C
37%
17°C
16%
18°C
13%
19°C или выше
32%
12°C 40%
16°C 37%
19°C или выше 32%
11°C 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$125 Объем
1%
10°C
$40 Объем
17%
11°C
$0 Объем
30%
12°C
$0 Объем
40%
13°C
$0 Объем
30%
14°C
$0 Объем
28%
15°C
$187 Объем
5%
16°C
$0 Объем
37%
17°C
$0 Объем
16%
18°C
$0 Объем
13%
19°C или выше
$0 Объем
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild air mass over Warsaw with overnight lows likely near 13–15°C on September 14, supported by light southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus shows a wide distribution across bins because small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage or wind shift could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°C through variations in boundary-layer mixing and moisture advection. With probabilities clustered between 9°C or below and the mid-teens, markets reflect uncertainty in ensemble spread rather than a single dominant signal, as updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$352Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild air mass over Warsaw with overnight lows likely near 13–15°C on September 14, supported by light southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus shows a wide distribution across bins because small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage or wind shift could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°C through variations in boundary-layer mixing and moisture advection. With probabilities clustered between 9°C or below and the mid-teens, markets reflect uncertainty in ensemble spread rather than a single dominant signal, as updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$352Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild air mass over Warsaw with overnight lows likely near 13–15°C on September 14, supported by light southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus shows a wide distribution across bins because small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage or wind shift could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°C through variations in boundary-layer mixing and moisture advection. With probabilities clustered between 9°C or below and the mid-teens, markets reflect uncertainty in ensemble spread rather than a single dominant signal, as updated model guidance expected overnight could refine the resolution threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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