Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 8 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 8 сентября?
12°C 100.0%
8°C или ниже <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$5,853 Объем
$5,853 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C или выше
Нет
12°C 100.0%
8°C или ниже <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$5,853 Объем
$5,853 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$574 Объем
Нет
9°C
$370 Объем
Нет
10°C
$190 Объем
Нет
11°C
$393 Объем
Нет
12°C
$905 Объем
Да
13°C
$413 Объем
Нет
14°C
$535 Объем
Нет
15°C
$449 Объем
Нет
16°C
$69 Объем
Нет
17°C
$1,256 Объем
Нет
18°C или выше
$698 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$5,853Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,853Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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