Recent forecast model runs show Wellington's September 6 minimum likely falling between 9–13 °C as a northwesterly flow yields to a cooler southerly change, with Met Office guidance indicating a 9 °C low and other ensembles closer to 11–12 °C. Cloud cover and rainfall timing will modulate overnight radiative cooling, while wind strength near the front influences how far temperatures drop before dawn. Market-implied odds cluster around 13 °C, 8 °C or below, and 18 °C or higher because small shifts in frontal timing or model bias could push the daily minimum across those thresholds; updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours are expected to narrow the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 6 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 6 сентября?
8°C или ниже 69%
18°C или выше 69%
14°C 48%
13°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
69%
9°C
14%
10°C
17%
11°C
25%
12°C
27%
13°C
37%
14°C
48%
15°C
8%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C или выше
69%
8°C или ниже 69%
18°C или выше 69%
14°C 48%
13°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$0 Объем
69%
9°C
$0 Объем
14%
10°C
$0 Объем
17%
11°C
$0 Объем
25%
12°C
$0 Объем
27%
13°C
$28 Объем
37%
14°C
$0 Объем
48%
15°C
$0 Объем
8%
16°C
$0 Объем
3%
17°C
$0 Объем
2%
18°C или выше
$0 Объем
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show Wellington's September 6 minimum likely falling between 9–13 °C as a northwesterly flow yields to a cooler southerly change, with Met Office guidance indicating a 9 °C low and other ensembles closer to 11–12 °C. Cloud cover and rainfall timing will modulate overnight radiative cooling, while wind strength near the front influences how far temperatures drop before dawn. Market-implied odds cluster around 13 °C, 8 °C or below, and 18 °C or higher because small shifts in frontal timing or model bias could push the daily minimum across those thresholds; updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours are expected to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$19Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs show Wellington's September 6 minimum likely falling between 9–13 °C as a northwesterly flow yields to a cooler southerly change, with Met Office guidance indicating a 9 °C low and other ensembles closer to 11–12 °C. Cloud cover and rainfall timing will modulate overnight radiative cooling, while wind strength near the front influences how far temperatures drop before dawn. Market-implied odds cluster around 13 °C, 8 °C or below, and 18 °C or higher because small shifts in frontal timing or model bias could push the daily minimum across those thresholds; updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours are expected to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs show Wellington's September 6 minimum likely falling between 9–13 °C as a northwesterly flow yields to a cooler southerly change, with Met Office guidance indicating a 9 °C low and other ensembles closer to 11–12 °C. Cloud cover and rainfall timing will modulate overnight radiative cooling, while wind strength near the front influences how far temperatures drop before dawn. Market-implied odds cluster around 13 °C, 8 °C or below, and 18 °C or higher because small shifts in frontal timing or model bias could push the daily minimum across those thresholds; updated NWP guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours are expected to narrow the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы