Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоDelia Velculescu 28.1%
Шербан Мате 18.4%
Sorin Grindeanu 9%
Раду Бурнете 9%
$595,575 Объем
$595,575 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Delia Velculescu
28%
Шербан Мате
18%
Sorin Grindeanu
9%
Раду Бурнете
9%
Cătălin Predoiu
5%
Anca Dragu
3%
Драгош Пысляру
3%
Lucian Croitoru
2%
Александру Назаре
2%
Александру Рогобете
1%
Ilie Bolojan
1%
Дан Мотреану
1%
George Simion
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
1%
Чиприан Чиуку
1%
Кэлин Георгеску
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
<1%
Mircea Geoană
<1%
Lucian Isar
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
<1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
<1%
Emil Boc
<1%
Dominic Fritz
<1%
Raluca Turcan
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
Хунор Келемен
<1%
Траян Бэсеску
<1%
Delia Velculescu 28.1%
Шербан Мате 18.4%
Sorin Grindeanu 9%
Раду Бурнете 9%
$595,575 Объем
$595,575 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Delia Velculescu
$16,508 Объем
28%
Шербан Мате
$18,982 Объем
18%
Sorin Grindeanu
$70,281 Объем
9%
Раду Бурнете
$19,686 Объем
9%
Cătălin Predoiu
$66,211 Объем
5%
Anca Dragu
$19,506 Объем
3%
Драгош Пысляру
$12,914 Объем
3%
Lucian Croitoru
$14,855 Объем
2%
Александру Назаре
$5,054 Объем
2%
Александру Рогобете
$10,751 Объем
1%
Ilie Bolojan
$60,849 Объем
1%
Дан Мотреану
$11,592 Объем
1%
George Simion
$12,153 Объем
1%
Ionuț Dumitru
$29,436 Объем
1%
Чиприан Чиуку
$969 Объем
1%
Кэлин Георгеску
$9,570 Объем
<1%
Mugur Isărescu
$11,081 Объем
<1%
Mircea Geoană
$16,895 Объем
<1%
Lucian Isar
$12,256 Объем
<1%
Marcel Ciolacu
$11,829 Объем
<1%
Alexandru Rafila
$12,536 Объем
<1%
Sebastian Burduja
$12,629 Объем
<1%
Elena Lasconi
$36,584 Объем
<1%
Cătălin Drulă
$13,867 Объем
<1%
Vasile Dîncu
$12,742 Объем
<1%
Dacian Cioloș
$16,996 Объем
<1%
Emil Boc
$13,158 Объем
<1%
Dominic Fritz
$12,397 Объем
<1%
Raluca Turcan
$9,511 Объем
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
$14,083 Объем
<1%
Хунор Келемен
$8,829 Объем
<1%
Траян Бэсеску
$864 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Объем
$595,575Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$595,575Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Romania's recent government collapse after a May 5 no-confidence vote has intensified coalition negotiations, with President Nicușor Dan beginning formal party consultations on May 18 to identify a candidate able to secure a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign Delia Velculescu the highest implied probability at 28.1 percent amid expectations of technocratic or centrist continuity, while Șerban Matei trails at 18.4 percent as parties weigh viable pro-European alignments excluding far-right participation. The fragmented post-election landscape and aversion to snap polls keep probabilities dispersed across multiple figures, reflecting uncertainty over which nominee can navigate Senate and Chamber dynamics before any resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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