Incumbent Adriano Espaillat holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th congressional district, backed by his long tenure since 2017, institutional ties in Upper Manhattan and Harlem, and recent endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the leading challenger and a DSA-endorsed organizer, has drawn attention through strong first-quarter fundraising and an internal poll highlighting softer support for the incumbent, yet faces a fractured field that includes several low-profile candidates. Trader consensus pricing these outcomes reflects Espaillat’s structural advantages in name recognition and party machinery, tempered by the short timeline and the challenger’s targeted progressive outreach ahead of election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАдриано Эспайят 71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье 30%
Оскар Ромеро 1.8%
Тео Чино-Таварес <1%
$22,817 Объем
$22,817 Объем
Адриано Эспайят
71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье
30%
Оскар Ромеро
2%
Тео Чино-Таварес
<1%
Меган Родригес
<1%
Джалил Амадор
<1%
Джеймс Фелтон Кит
<1%
Мэтт Миллер
<1%
Адриано Эспайят 71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье 30%
Оскар Ромеро 1.8%
Тео Чино-Таварес <1%
$22,817 Объем
$22,817 Объем
Адриано Эспайят
71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье
30%
Оскар Ромеро
2%
Тео Чино-Таварес
<1%
Меган Родригес
<1%
Джалил Амадор
<1%
Джеймс Фелтон Кит
<1%
Мэтт Миллер
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Adriano Espaillat holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th congressional district, backed by his long tenure since 2017, institutional ties in Upper Manhattan and Harlem, and recent endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the leading challenger and a DSA-endorsed organizer, has drawn attention through strong first-quarter fundraising and an internal poll highlighting softer support for the incumbent, yet faces a fractured field that includes several low-profile candidates. Trader consensus pricing these outcomes reflects Espaillat’s structural advantages in name recognition and party machinery, tempered by the short timeline and the challenger’s targeted progressive outreach ahead of election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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