With Oregon's May 19 Republican primary for governor four days away and early voting underway at around 12% statewide turnout, trader consensus prices state Sen. Christine Drazan as the clear frontrunner at 84.5% implied probability, reflecting her consistent lead in late-April independent polls averaging 36% support—nearly double Rep. Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 16%—bolstered by strong name recognition from her competitive 2022 gubernatorial bid, editorial endorsements like The Oregonian/OregonLive, and robust fundraising among the crowded field of 14 candidates. Diehl holds second at 14.1% on momentum from his tax-referendum signature drive and a campaign poll claiming a near-tie (41% Drazan vs. 38%) among decided voters, though high undecideds (over 30%) leave room for late shifts before ballots must postmark by election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКристин Дразан 85%
Эд Дил 13.0%
Крис Дадли 1.8%
Кайл Дайк <1%
$119,492 Объем
$119,492 Объем
Кристин Дразан
85%
Эд Дил
13%
Крис Дадли
2%
Кайл Дайк
<1%
Чейл Соннен
<1%
Даниэль Бетель
<1%
Роберт Нойман
<1%
Калеб Кинц
<1%
Брэд Т. Питерс
<1%
Дэвид Медина
<1%
Патрик Копке-Хейлс
<1%
Кристин Дразан 85%
Эд Дил 13.0%
Крис Дадли 1.8%
Кайл Дайк <1%
$119,492 Объем
$119,492 Объем
Кристин Дразан
85%
Эд Дил
13%
Крис Дадли
2%
Кайл Дайк
<1%
Чейл Соннен
<1%
Даниэль Бетель
<1%
Роберт Нойман
<1%
Калеб Кинц
<1%
Брэд Т. Питерс
<1%
Дэвид Медина
<1%
Патрик Копке-Хейлс
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Oregon's May 19 Republican primary for governor four days away and early voting underway at around 12% statewide turnout, trader consensus prices state Sen. Christine Drazan as the clear frontrunner at 84.5% implied probability, reflecting her consistent lead in late-April independent polls averaging 36% support—nearly double Rep. Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 16%—bolstered by strong name recognition from her competitive 2022 gubernatorial bid, editorial endorsements like The Oregonian/OregonLive, and robust fundraising among the crowded field of 14 candidates. Diehl holds second at 14.1% on momentum from his tax-referendum signature drive and a campaign poll claiming a near-tie (41% Drazan vs. 38%) among decided voters, though high undecideds (over 30%) leave room for late shifts before ballots must postmark by election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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