South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects a temporary upward revision driven by the recent oil-price shock from Middle East tensions, which has lifted administered prices and pushed the SARB’s baseline forecast to a 3.7% average for the year, with a peak near 4% in the second quarter. March 2026 CPI printed at 3.1%, only modestly above February’s 3.0% reading, while core measures remain near the new 3% target. Traders price the 2.9–3.5% range as the most likely outcome, balancing expectations that fuel costs will moderate later in the year against upside risks from sustained Brent prices above $100 and rand weakness. The next Monetary Policy Committee decision on 28 May and the May CPI release will provide the clearest near-term signals for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,4-4,7% 8.8%
3,5–3,8% 7.1%
>5,0% 3.8%
4,7-5,0% 3.0%
$21,375 Объем
$21,375 Объем
20 янв. 2027 г.
<2,6%
14%
2,6–2,9%
16%
2,9-3,2%
42%
3,2-3,5%
40%
3,5–3,8%
16%
3,8-4,1%
30%
4,1-4,4%
33%
4,4-4,7%
9%
4,7-5,0%
22%
>5,0%
17%
4,4-4,7% 8.8%
3,5–3,8% 7.1%
>5,0% 3.8%
4,7-5,0% 3.0%
$21,375 Объем
$21,375 Объем
20 янв. 2027 г.
<2,6%
$267 Объем
14%
2,6–2,9%
$282 Объем
16%
2,9-3,2%
$369 Объем
42%
3,2-3,5%
$369 Объем
40%
3,5–3,8%
$471 Объем
16%
3,8-4,1%
$661 Объем
30%
4,1-4,4%
$539 Объем
33%
4,4-4,7%
$12,095 Объем
9%
4,7-5,0%
$373 Объем
22%
>5,0%
$5,948 Объем
17%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects a temporary upward revision driven by the recent oil-price shock from Middle East tensions, which has lifted administered prices and pushed the SARB’s baseline forecast to a 3.7% average for the year, with a peak near 4% in the second quarter. March 2026 CPI printed at 3.1%, only modestly above February’s 3.0% reading, while core measures remain near the new 3% target. Traders price the 2.9–3.5% range as the most likely outcome, balancing expectations that fuel costs will moderate later in the year against upside risks from sustained Brent prices above $100 and rand weakness. The next Monetary Policy Committee decision on 28 May and the May CPI release will provide the clearest near-term signals for resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Открытие рынка: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Объем
$21,375Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects a temporary upward revision driven by the recent oil-price shock from Middle East tensions, which has lifted administered prices and pushed the SARB’s baseline forecast to a 3.7% average for the year, with a peak near 4% in the second quarter. March 2026 CPI printed at 3.1%, only modestly above February’s 3.0% reading, while core measures remain near the new 3% target. Traders price the 2.9–3.5% range as the most likely outcome, balancing expectations that fuel costs will moderate later in the year against upside risks from sustained Brent prices above $100 and rand weakness. The next Monetary Policy Committee decision on 28 May and the May CPI release will provide the clearest near-term signals for resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Объем
$21,375Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects a temporary upward revision driven by the recent oil-price shock from Middle East tensions, which has lifted administered prices and pushed the SARB’s baseline forecast to a 3.7% average for the year, with a peak near 4% in the second quarter. March 2026 CPI printed at 3.1%, only modestly above February’s 3.0% reading, while core measures remain near the new 3% target. Traders price the 2.9–3.5% range as the most likely outcome, balancing expectations that fuel costs will moderate later in the year against upside risks from sustained Brent prices above $100 and rand weakness. The next Monetary Policy Committee decision on 28 May and the May CPI release will provide the clearest near-term signals for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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