President Trump’s administration has prioritized accelerating U.S. AI leadership through minimal regulatory burdens, as reflected in prior executive orders that revoked earlier frameworks and directed challenges to state-level AI measures. The June 2026 Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary government review process for designated frontier models focused on cybersecurity risks, with a shortened 30-day window and explicit disclaimers against mandatory licensing or pre-clearance. Recent statements in mid-September 2026 have reinforced this approach, with the president dismissing calls for additional limits, highlighting existing criminal enforcement tools, and announcing plans for an “AI Force” and AI Czar to support rather than constrain development. These developments align with the administration’s emphasis on national security collaboration with industry while avoiding steps that could cede ground to international competitors. Upcoming legislative or agency actions on preemption and workforce initiatives could shape any further executive steps within defined timeframes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
3%
31 октября
6%
31 декабря
16%
$1,628 Объем
30 сентября
$850 Объем
3%
31 октября
$536 Объем
6%
31 декабря
$242 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s administration has prioritized accelerating U.S. AI leadership through minimal regulatory burdens, as reflected in prior executive orders that revoked earlier frameworks and directed challenges to state-level AI measures. The June 2026 Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary government review process for designated frontier models focused on cybersecurity risks, with a shortened 30-day window and explicit disclaimers against mandatory licensing or pre-clearance. Recent statements in mid-September 2026 have reinforced this approach, with the president dismissing calls for additional limits, highlighting existing criminal enforcement tools, and announcing plans for an “AI Force” and AI Czar to support rather than constrain development. These developments align with the administration’s emphasis on national security collaboration with industry while avoiding steps that could cede ground to international competitors. Upcoming legislative or agency actions on preemption and workforce initiatives could shape any further executive steps within defined timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Объем
$1,628Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s administration has prioritized accelerating U.S. AI leadership through minimal regulatory burdens, as reflected in prior executive orders that revoked earlier frameworks and directed challenges to state-level AI measures. The June 2026 Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary government review process for designated frontier models focused on cybersecurity risks, with a shortened 30-day window and explicit disclaimers against mandatory licensing or pre-clearance. Recent statements in mid-September 2026 have reinforced this approach, with the president dismissing calls for additional limits, highlighting existing criminal enforcement tools, and announcing plans for an “AI Force” and AI Czar to support rather than constrain development. These developments align with the administration’s emphasis on national security collaboration with industry while avoiding steps that could cede ground to international competitors. Upcoming legislative or agency actions on preemption and workforce initiatives could shape any further executive steps within defined timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,628Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s administration has prioritized accelerating U.S. AI leadership through minimal regulatory burdens, as reflected in prior executive orders that revoked earlier frameworks and directed challenges to state-level AI measures. The June 2026 Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary government review process for designated frontier models focused on cybersecurity risks, with a shortened 30-day window and explicit disclaimers against mandatory licensing or pre-clearance. Recent statements in mid-September 2026 have reinforced this approach, with the president dismissing calls for additional limits, highlighting existing criminal enforcement tools, and announcing plans for an “AI Force” and AI Czar to support rather than constrain development. These developments align with the administration’s emphasis on national security collaboration with industry while avoiding steps that could cede ground to international competitors. Upcoming legislative or agency actions on preemption and workforce initiatives could shape any further executive steps within defined timeframes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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