The elevated probability that President Trump remains in office through early 2027 reflects the high constitutional barriers to removal, including the need for a House majority to impeach followed by a two-thirds Senate vote to convict. Republican majorities in both chambers after the 2024 elections have limited bipartisan support for such proceedings, while recent legislative activity on issues like immigration enforcement and appropriations has sustained party unity. No significant scandals, health developments, or resignation signals have emerged in the past several months to alter this dynamic, consistent with historical patterns of incumbents completing early terms under unified government.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$8,522,254 Объем
$8,522,254 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$8,522,254 Объем
$8,522,254 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The elevated probability that President Trump remains in office through early 2027 reflects the high constitutional barriers to removal, including the need for a House majority to impeach followed by a two-thirds Senate vote to convict. Republican majorities in both chambers after the 2024 elections have limited bipartisan support for such proceedings, while recent legislative activity on issues like immigration enforcement and appropriations has sustained party unity. No significant scandals, health developments, or resignation signals have emerged in the past several months to alter this dynamic, consistent with historical patterns of incumbents completing early terms under unified government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Объем
$8,522,254Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The elevated probability that President Trump remains in office through early 2027 reflects the high constitutional barriers to removal, including the need for a House majority to impeach followed by a two-thirds Senate vote to convict. Republican majorities in both chambers after the 2024 elections have limited bipartisan support for such proceedings, while recent legislative activity on issues like immigration enforcement and appropriations has sustained party unity. No significant scandals, health developments, or resignation signals have emerged in the past several months to alter this dynamic, consistent with historical patterns of incumbents completing early terms under unified government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$8,522,254Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The elevated probability that President Trump remains in office through early 2027 reflects the high constitutional barriers to removal, including the need for a House majority to impeach followed by a two-thirds Senate vote to convict. Republican majorities in both chambers after the 2024 elections have limited bipartisan support for such proceedings, while recent legislative activity on issues like immigration enforcement and appropriations has sustained party unity. No significant scandals, health developments, or resignation signals have emerged in the past several months to alter this dynamic, consistent with historical patterns of incumbents completing early terms under unified government.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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