Recent House action tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution over immigration enforcement and related incidents has reinforced trader views that removal proceedings lack the votes to advance in the current Congress. With Republicans holding majorities and no successful prior efforts gaining traction this term, the consensus reflects limited institutional pathways for ouster before 2027 despite ongoing controversies including the Iran conflict and midterm pressures. Scheduled November elections could shift House control, yet historical patterns and procedural thresholds make swift removal through impeachment or other means improbable within the narrow timeframe.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$11,772,468 Объем
$11,772,468 Объем
Да
$11,772,468 Объем
$11,772,468 Объем
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent House action tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution over immigration enforcement and related incidents has reinforced trader views that removal proceedings lack the votes to advance in the current Congress. With Republicans holding majorities and no successful prior efforts gaining traction this term, the consensus reflects limited institutional pathways for ouster before 2027 despite ongoing controversies including the Iran conflict and midterm pressures. Scheduled November elections could shift House control, yet historical patterns and procedural thresholds make swift removal through impeachment or other means improbable within the narrow timeframe.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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