US-Cuba economic relations remain shaped by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure approach, including the January 2026 national emergency declaration (EO 14380) that enabled tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and the May 2026 follow-on order (EO 14404) authorizing secondary sanctions on foreign entities engaging key Cuban sectors such as energy, mining, and finance, plus designations targeting GAESA and regime figures. These steps built on the cutoff of Venezuelan oil shipments and have deepened Cuba’s documented fuel and economic crisis. Earlier reports of possible talks on sanctions relief in exchange for reforms or sector-specific cooperation have not produced confirmed progress, while Cuba has rejected preconditions tied to governance changes. Trader assessments of any near-term deal therefore hinge on whether sustained economic strain prompts Havana to negotiate or whether further US designations and enforcement actions lock in the restrictive status quo.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭкономическая сделка между США и Кубой от...?
Экономическая сделка между США и Кубой от...?
$345,450 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 июня
2%
July 31
9%
December 31
56%
$345,450 Объем
30 июня
$180,242 Объем
2%
July 31
$24,872 Объем
9%
December 31
$4,338 Объем
56%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Cuba economic relations remain shaped by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure approach, including the January 2026 national emergency declaration (EO 14380) that enabled tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and the May 2026 follow-on order (EO 14404) authorizing secondary sanctions on foreign entities engaging key Cuban sectors such as energy, mining, and finance, plus designations targeting GAESA and regime figures. These steps built on the cutoff of Venezuelan oil shipments and have deepened Cuba’s documented fuel and economic crisis. Earlier reports of possible talks on sanctions relief in exchange for reforms or sector-specific cooperation have not produced confirmed progress, while Cuba has rejected preconditions tied to governance changes. Trader assessments of any near-term deal therefore hinge on whether sustained economic strain prompts Havana to negotiate or whether further US designations and enforcement actions lock in the restrictive status quo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Объем
$345,450Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Cuba economic relations remain shaped by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure approach, including the January 2026 national emergency declaration (EO 14380) that enabled tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and the May 2026 follow-on order (EO 14404) authorizing secondary sanctions on foreign entities engaging key Cuban sectors such as energy, mining, and finance, plus designations targeting GAESA and regime figures. These steps built on the cutoff of Venezuelan oil shipments and have deepened Cuba’s documented fuel and economic crisis. Earlier reports of possible talks on sanctions relief in exchange for reforms or sector-specific cooperation have not produced confirmed progress, while Cuba has rejected preconditions tied to governance changes. Trader assessments of any near-term deal therefore hinge on whether sustained economic strain prompts Havana to negotiate or whether further US designations and enforcement actions lock in the restrictive status quo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Объем
$345,450Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Cuba economic relations remain shaped by the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure approach, including the January 2026 national emergency declaration (EO 14380) that enabled tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and the May 2026 follow-on order (EO 14404) authorizing secondary sanctions on foreign entities engaging key Cuban sectors such as energy, mining, and finance, plus designations targeting GAESA and regime figures. These steps built on the cutoff of Venezuelan oil shipments and have deepened Cuba’s documented fuel and economic crisis. Earlier reports of possible talks on sanctions relief in exchange for reforms or sector-specific cooperation have not produced confirmed progress, while Cuba has rejected preconditions tied to governance changes. Trader assessments of any near-term deal therefore hinge on whether sustained economic strain prompts Havana to negotiate or whether further US designations and enforcement actions lock in the restrictive status quo.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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