President Trump's ongoing diplomatic engagement with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, including their May 14 Beijing summit focused on the Iran conflict, trade balances, technology restrictions, and Taiwan security, remains the dominant factor shaping expectations for his social media activity through May 17. Recent statements from the White House have emphasized unilateral U.S. priorities in ending the Iran confrontation without regard to immediate domestic economic effects, alongside continued references to prior executive actions on counterterrorism and healthcare reforms announced earlier in the month. These developments align with historical patterns of presidential communications during high-stakes foreign policy moments, where updates on negotiations, sanctions enforcement, or bilateral outcomes typically generate immediate public posts. With the resolution window closing in one day, traders are assessing whether fresh announcements on ceasefires, arms packages, or tariff measures will surface before the period ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$10,215 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
Trust
100%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
40%
King
35%
ICE
37%
No cards / All the cards
15%
Epstein
10%
Baby
36%
UFC
38%
Coal
13%
Crypto / Bitcoin
7%
Virus
27%
Football
14%
Brazil
7%
$10,215 Объем
Trust
$1,867 Объем
100%
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
$417 Объем
40%
King
$314 Объем
35%
ICE
$172 Объем
37%
No cards / All the cards
$47 Объем
15%
Epstein
$81 Объем
10%
Baby
$192 Объем
36%
UFC
$196 Объем
38%
Coal
$50 Объем
13%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$587 Объем
7%
Virus
$421 Объем
27%
Football
$202 Объем
14%
Brazil
$174 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's ongoing diplomatic engagement with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, including their May 14 Beijing summit focused on the Iran conflict, trade balances, technology restrictions, and Taiwan security, remains the dominant factor shaping expectations for his social media activity through May 17. Recent statements from the White House have emphasized unilateral U.S. priorities in ending the Iran confrontation without regard to immediate domestic economic effects, alongside continued references to prior executive actions on counterterrorism and healthcare reforms announced earlier in the month. These developments align with historical patterns of presidential communications during high-stakes foreign policy moments, where updates on negotiations, sanctions enforcement, or bilateral outcomes typically generate immediate public posts. With the resolution window closing in one day, traders are assessing whether fresh announcements on ceasefires, arms packages, or tariff measures will surface before the period ends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Открытие рынка: May 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$10,215Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's ongoing diplomatic engagement with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, including their May 14 Beijing summit focused on the Iran conflict, trade balances, technology restrictions, and Taiwan security, remains the dominant factor shaping expectations for his social media activity through May 17. Recent statements from the White House have emphasized unilateral U.S. priorities in ending the Iran confrontation without regard to immediate domestic economic effects, alongside continued references to prior executive actions on counterterrorism and healthcare reforms announced earlier in the month. These developments align with historical patterns of presidential communications during high-stakes foreign policy moments, where updates on negotiations, sanctions enforcement, or bilateral outcomes typically generate immediate public posts. With the resolution window closing in one day, traders are assessing whether fresh announcements on ceasefires, arms packages, or tariff measures will surface before the period ends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Объем
$10,215Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's ongoing diplomatic engagement with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, including their May 14 Beijing summit focused on the Iran conflict, trade balances, technology restrictions, and Taiwan security, remains the dominant factor shaping expectations for his social media activity through May 17. Recent statements from the White House have emphasized unilateral U.S. priorities in ending the Iran confrontation without regard to immediate domestic economic effects, alongside continued references to prior executive actions on counterterrorism and healthcare reforms announced earlier in the month. These developments align with historical patterns of presidential communications during high-stakes foreign policy moments, where updates on negotiations, sanctions enforcement, or bilateral outcomes typically generate immediate public posts. With the resolution window closing in one day, traders are assessing whether fresh announcements on ceasefires, arms packages, or tariff measures will surface before the period ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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