OpenAI's GPT-5.5 (xhigh), released as ChatGPT's new default model on May 5, currently leads the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at 60 points, fueling trader consensus on its frontrunner status for topping benchmarks like LMSYS Chatbot Arena by June 30. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 trails closely at 57.3 with strong agentic coding performance on SWE-Bench, while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview matches it at 57.2, highlighting intensified competition from rapid frontier model iterations. Open-weight challengers like DeepSeek V4 Pro and Kimi K2.6 narrow the gap to proprietary leaders, but scaling hurdles persist. Traders eye unannounced releases or leaderboard volatility ahead of the end-June snapshot, where Elo shifts from user battles could crown a surprise winner.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 30 июня?
Какие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 30 июня?
$1,557,110 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
OpenAI
11%
xAI
5%
Meta
5%
Mistral
5%
Baidu
3%
Z.ai
3%
DeepSeek
2%
Alibaba
2%
Nvidia
2%
Meituan
2%
$1,557,110 Объем
OpenAI
$406,034 Объем
11%
xAI
$556,138 Объем
5%
Meta
$15,361 Объем
5%
Mistral
$13,187 Объем
5%
Baidu
$3,154 Объем
3%
Z.ai
$10,160 Объем
3%
DeepSeek
$275,002 Объем
2%
Alibaba
$10,627 Объем
2%
Nvidia
$6,421 Объем
2%
Meituan
$3,056 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 (xhigh), released as ChatGPT's new default model on May 5, currently leads the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at 60 points, fueling trader consensus on its frontrunner status for topping benchmarks like LMSYS Chatbot Arena by June 30. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 trails closely at 57.3 with strong agentic coding performance on SWE-Bench, while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview matches it at 57.2, highlighting intensified competition from rapid frontier model iterations. Open-weight challengers like DeepSeek V4 Pro and Kimi K2.6 narrow the gap to proprietary leaders, but scaling hurdles persist. Traders eye unannounced releases or leaderboard volatility ahead of the end-June snapshot, where Elo shifts from user battles could crown a surprise winner.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Открытие рынка: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$1,557,110Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 (xhigh), released as ChatGPT's new default model on May 5, currently leads the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at 60 points, fueling trader consensus on its frontrunner status for topping benchmarks like LMSYS Chatbot Arena by June 30. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 trails closely at 57.3 with strong agentic coding performance on SWE-Bench, while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview matches it at 57.2, highlighting intensified competition from rapid frontier model iterations. Open-weight challengers like DeepSeek V4 Pro and Kimi K2.6 narrow the gap to proprietary leaders, but scaling hurdles persist. Traders eye unannounced releases or leaderboard volatility ahead of the end-June snapshot, where Elo shifts from user battles could crown a surprise winner.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Объем
$1,557,110Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.5 (xhigh), released as ChatGPT's new default model on May 5, currently leads the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at 60 points, fueling trader consensus on its frontrunner status for topping benchmarks like LMSYS Chatbot Arena by June 30. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 trails closely at 57.3 with strong agentic coding performance on SWE-Bench, while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview matches it at 57.2, highlighting intensified competition from rapid frontier model iterations. Open-weight challengers like DeepSeek V4 Pro and Kimi K2.6 narrow the gap to proprietary leaders, but scaling hurdles persist. Traders eye unannounced releases or leaderboard volatility ahead of the end-June snapshot, where Elo shifts from user battles could crown a surprise winner.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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