John Fleming has advanced to the June 27 runoff in Louisiana’s Republican U.S. Senate primary against Trump-endorsed Representative Julia Letlow after placing second behind her in the May 16 vote that eliminated incumbent Bill Cassidy. Fleming has publicly rejected multiple reported offers of administration positions, including a CDC deputy director role, and has continued active campaigning while highlighting his conservative record and self-funding his bid. These developments, combined with his consistent statements that he intends to compete through the runoff, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 59.5 percent probability he will not withdraw before the contest concludes.