Recent court rulings annulling the 2023 CHP congress have already removed Özgür Özel from formal party leadership, reducing immediate pressure for arrest proceedings in the short term before June 30. Turkish authorities have pursued judicial measures against opposition figures through congress irregularities and related investigations, detaining some CHP members in May but stopping short of targeting Özel himself amid ongoing internal party disputes and resignations aimed at forcing a new congress. Trader consensus reflects the absence of active warrants, official announcements, or escalatory signals in the past two weeks, consistent with patterns where leadership challenges are addressed via courts rather than immediate detention. Still, rapid new charges, protest-related developments, or shifts in government strategy could alter the timeline within the narrow window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
$28,925 Объем
$28,925 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
$28,925 Объем
$28,925 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent court rulings annulling the 2023 CHP congress have already removed Özgür Özel from formal party leadership, reducing immediate pressure for arrest proceedings in the short term before June 30. Turkish authorities have pursued judicial measures against opposition figures through congress irregularities and related investigations, detaining some CHP members in May but stopping short of targeting Özel himself amid ongoing internal party disputes and resignations aimed at forcing a new congress. Trader consensus reflects the absence of active warrants, official announcements, or escalatory signals in the past two weeks, consistent with patterns where leadership challenges are addressed via courts rather than immediate detention. Still, rapid new charges, protest-related developments, or shifts in government strategy could alter the timeline within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
Объем
$28,925Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent court rulings annulling the 2023 CHP congress have already removed Özgür Özel from formal party leadership, reducing immediate pressure for arrest proceedings in the short term before June 30. Turkish authorities have pursued judicial measures against opposition figures through congress irregularities and related investigations, detaining some CHP members in May but stopping short of targeting Özel himself amid ongoing internal party disputes and resignations aimed at forcing a new congress. Trader consensus reflects the absence of active warrants, official announcements, or escalatory signals in the past two weeks, consistent with patterns where leadership challenges are addressed via courts rather than immediate detention. Still, rapid new charges, protest-related developments, or shifts in government strategy could alter the timeline within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$28,925Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent court rulings annulling the 2023 CHP congress have already removed Özgür Özel from formal party leadership, reducing immediate pressure for arrest proceedings in the short term before June 30. Turkish authorities have pursued judicial measures against opposition figures through congress irregularities and related investigations, detaining some CHP members in May but stopping short of targeting Özel himself amid ongoing internal party disputes and resignations aimed at forcing a new congress. Trader consensus reflects the absence of active warrants, official announcements, or escalatory signals in the past two weeks, consistent with patterns where leadership challenges are addressed via courts rather than immediate detention. Still, rapid new charges, protest-related developments, or shifts in government strategy could alter the timeline within the narrow window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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