Trump’s approval rating has remained in the mid-30s through mid-2026, with recent aggregates showing 34–39 percent approval and net figures near –20 to –27, driven primarily by public reaction to renewed U.S. strikes on Iran that began in July and the associated costs in casualties and spending. Partisan divides remain wide, with Republican support holding above 80 percent in most surveys while independents have moved sharply negative. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 represent the next major test of voter sentiment, alongside ongoing economic and foreign-policy developments that could either consolidate or further erode support among key swing groups. Historical patterns suggest ratings in a president’s second term tend to be more stable than in the first, though external events retain the capacity to produce short-term shifts.