Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent as of early August 2026, with multiple aggregators reporting figures in that narrow band amid stable trends over recent weeks. Partisan gaps remain wide, with Republican support near 69 percent offsetting broad Democratic disapproval, while economic sentiment and foreign policy developments such as Iran-related developments have weighed on overall numbers. Upcoming midterms have kept focus on these metrics, yet no major new catalysts have emerged in the past several days to shift readings sharply before the August 14 measurement window. Trader consensus therefore clusters on the 38.0–38.4 range, reflecting the recent stability of high-quality surveys around this level rather than any pronounced movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено38,0–38,4 51%
37,5–37,9 26%
38,5–38,9 16%
37,0–37,4 9%
<37,0
1%
37,0–37,4
9%
37,5–37,9
26%
38,0–38,4
51%
38,5–38,9
16%
39,0+
3%
38,0–38,4 51%
37,5–37,9 26%
38,5–38,9 16%
37,0–37,4 9%
<37,0
1%
37,0–37,4
9%
37,5–37,9
26%
38,0–38,4
51%
38,5–38,9
16%
39,0+
3%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent as of early August 2026, with multiple aggregators reporting figures in that narrow band amid stable trends over recent weeks. Partisan gaps remain wide, with Republican support near 69 percent offsetting broad Democratic disapproval, while economic sentiment and foreign policy developments such as Iran-related developments have weighed on overall numbers. Upcoming midterms have kept focus on these metrics, yet no major new catalysts have emerged in the past several days to shift readings sharply before the August 14 measurement window. Trader consensus therefore clusters on the 38.0–38.4 range, reflecting the recent stability of high-quality surveys around this level rather than any pronounced movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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