Democrats currently hold four of Colorado’s eight congressional districts, with the remaining four under Republican control following the 2024 cycle. Trader consensus favoring five or six Democratic seats reflects the DCCC’s decision to target all four GOP-held districts—particularly the competitive 8th and 3rd—as part of a broader midterm push. Recent primary dynamics in the 3rd district, including the withdrawal of an incumbent endorsement, have heightened uncertainty there and contributed to modest upward pressure on Democratic seat expectations. Historical midterm patterns and the state’s evenly divided map further support the 40 percent probability assigned to a single net gain, while lower odds for four or fewer seats align with limited evidence of Republican defensive strength in battleground terrain.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено5 40%
6 29%
7+ 22%
4 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
1%
4
13%
5
40%
6
29%
7+
22%
5 40%
6 29%
7+ 22%
4 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
$146 Объем
1%
4
$166 Объем
13%
5
$469 Объем
40%
6
$718 Объем
29%
7+
$859 Объем
22%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Colorado in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats currently hold four of Colorado’s eight congressional districts, with the remaining four under Republican control following the 2024 cycle. Trader consensus favoring five or six Democratic seats reflects the DCCC’s decision to target all four GOP-held districts—particularly the competitive 8th and 3rd—as part of a broader midterm push. Recent primary dynamics in the 3rd district, including the withdrawal of an incumbent endorsement, have heightened uncertainty there and contributed to modest upward pressure on Democratic seat expectations. Historical midterm patterns and the state’s evenly divided map further support the 40 percent probability assigned to a single net gain, while lower odds for four or fewer seats align with limited evidence of Republican defensive strength in battleground terrain.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Colorado in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Объем
$2,358Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Colorado in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats currently hold four of Colorado’s eight congressional districts, with the remaining four under Republican control following the 2024 cycle. Trader consensus favoring five or six Democratic seats reflects the DCCC’s decision to target all four GOP-held districts—particularly the competitive 8th and 3rd—as part of a broader midterm push. Recent primary dynamics in the 3rd district, including the withdrawal of an incumbent endorsement, have heightened uncertainty there and contributed to modest upward pressure on Democratic seat expectations. Historical midterm patterns and the state’s evenly divided map further support the 40 percent probability assigned to a single net gain, while lower odds for four or fewer seats align with limited evidence of Republican defensive strength in battleground terrain.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Colorado in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,358Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 10:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Democrats currently hold four of Colorado’s eight congressional districts, with the remaining four under Republican control following the 2024 cycle. Trader consensus favoring five or six Democratic seats reflects the DCCC’s decision to target all four GOP-held districts—particularly the competitive 8th and 3rd—as part of a broader midterm push. Recent primary dynamics in the 3rd district, including the withdrawal of an incumbent endorsement, have heightened uncertainty there and contributed to modest upward pressure on Democratic seat expectations. Historical midterm patterns and the state’s evenly divided map further support the 40 percent probability assigned to a single net gain, while lower odds for four or fewer seats align with limited evidence of Republican defensive strength in battleground terrain.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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