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Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa

7h 24m 57s
Polymarket
$157.80K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$133K Vol.

Totals

$24.9K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$169 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Allen to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Costa to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$2 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arnold Allen defeats Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melquizael Costa defeats Arnold Allen at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4. “Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5. “Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Arnold Allen meets Melquizael Costa in the featherweight main event of UFC Fight Night on May 16 at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Allen, the No. 7-ranked contender, returns after a unanimous decision loss to Jean Silva in January and seeks to halt a stretch of three defeats in his last four outings amid prior injury layoffs. The British veteran relies on elite fight IQ, defensive grappling, and experience against top competition including Max Holloway. Costa, ranked No. 12 and making his first main-event appearance, arrives on a three-fight win streak capped by a February knockout of Dan Ige. The Brazilian prospect brings forward pressure, finishing power, and improved takedown offense, creating a stylistic contrast centered on whether Allen’s veteran adjustments can neutralize Costa’s recent momentum in a five-round bout.

This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$157,800
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Costa vs. Allen” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Melquizael Costa and the Arnold Allen, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Allen is currently priced at 54¢ (54% implied probability) and Costa at 47¢ (47%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Costa vs. Allen” market has generated $157.8K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Costa vs. Allen,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MEL4 at 47¢ and ARN at 54¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Costa vs. Allen” show Arnold Allen at 54¢ (54% implied probability) and Melquizael Costa at 47¢ (47%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Costa vs. Allen” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.

Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa

7h 24m 57s
Polymarket
$157.80K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$133K Vol.

Totals

$24.9K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$169 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Allen to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Costa to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$2 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arnold Allen defeats Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melquizael Costa defeats Arnold Allen at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4. “Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5. “Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Arnold Allen meets Melquizael Costa in the featherweight main event of UFC Fight Night on May 16 at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Allen, the No. 7-ranked contender, returns after a unanimous decision loss to Jean Silva in January and seeks to halt a stretch of three defeats in his last four outings amid prior injury layoffs. The British veteran relies on elite fight IQ, defensive grappling, and experience against top competition including Max Holloway. Costa, ranked No. 12 and making his first main-event appearance, arrives on a three-fight win streak capped by a February knockout of Dan Ige. The Brazilian prospect brings forward pressure, finishing power, and improved takedown offense, creating a stylistic contrast centered on whether Allen’s veteran adjustments can neutralize Costa’s recent momentum in a five-round bout.

This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$157,800
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Arnold Allen" if Arnold Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Costa vs. Allen” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Melquizael Costa and the Arnold Allen, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Allen is currently priced at 54¢ (54% implied probability) and Costa at 47¢ (47%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Costa vs. Allen” market has generated $157.8K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Costa vs. Allen,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MEL4 at 47¢ and ARN at 54¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Costa vs. Allen” show Arnold Allen at 54¢ (54% implied probability) and Melquizael Costa at 47¢ (47%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Costa vs. Allen” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.